Research

Working papers, grouped by project. Each ships with the code and data behind it.

Compute-capacity markets

Pricing and risk for AI compute as a traded asset.

Working paper · 2026

Pricing compute-capacity contracts

A no-arbitrage framework for valuing forward and option-style contracts on compute capacity — with a native term structure and calibration to observed prices.

Full publication record — Google Scholar →

Blog

Occasional writing on method — how first-principles thinking and spectral decomposition apply to markets and complex systems.

2026 · Compute capacity

Pricing the risk that will not diversify

Why a book of AI-compute contracts carries a risk that neither diversification nor a commodity hedge removes — and how to bound it.

About

Kspectra Research Inc. is an independent studio building first-principles models for markets and complex systems — resolving opaque systems into the parts that move them, the way a spectrum resolves light into its lines.

Founded by Shaosai (Arthur) Huang in Toronto.

© 2026 Kspectra Research Inc. · Toronto